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| Open AccessReply to: Towards solving the missing ice problem and the importance of rigorous model data comparisons
- Evan J. Gowan
- , Xu Zhang
- & Gerrit Lohmann
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Article
| Open AccessTidewater-glacier response to supraglacial lake drainage
The effect of increasing surface melt on annual discharge is unknown for the Greenland Ice Sheet. Here, the authors find that Greenland’s largest single-glacier contributor to sea-level rise accommodates basal floods following supraglacial lake-drainage events with limited impact on ice flow.
- Laura A. Stevens
- , Meredith Nettles
- & Aaron Stubblefield
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Article
| Open AccessHelheim Glacier ice velocity variability responds to runoff and terminus position change at different timescales
Factors driving ice flow variability in Greenland vary by timescale. At seasonal scale, Helheim Glacier ice velocity responds most strongly to meltwater runoff. Glacier terminus position drives velocity variability at longer time scales.
- Lizz Ultee
- , Denis Felikson
- & Bryan Riel
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Article
| Open AccessThe unquantified mass loss of Northern Hemisphere marine-terminating glaciers from 2000–2020
As glaciers terminate into the ocean, mass is lost through frontal ablation where the ice meets the ocean. Here the authors estimate decadal frontal ablation from 2000 to 2020 of 1496 glaciers in the Northern Hemisphere, and find that frontal ablation makes up 79% of ice discharge to the ocean.
- William Kochtitzky
- , Luke Copland
- & Francisco Navarro
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Article
| Open AccessEconomic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is projected to impose severe costs on Small Island Developing States, and increase the worldwide social cost of carbon emissions, but costs could be reduced dramatically by efficient, proactive coastal planning.
- Simon Dietz
- & Felix Koninx
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Article
| Open AccessUsing MARSIS signal attenuation to assess the presence of South Polar Layered Deposit subglacial brines
MARSIS attenuation and thermal data confirm that liquid brines are the most plausible source for the bright reflections at the base of the South Polar Layered Deposits. Such results also justify why SHARAD does not penetrate to the base of the ice.
- Sebastian E. Lauro
- , Elena Pettinelli
- & Roberto Orosei
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Article
| Open AccessAccelerating ice flow at the onset of the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
A new study finds that the North East Greenland ice stream is not as stable as previously thought and that this will affect its future evolution.
- Aslak Grinsted
- , Christine S. Hvidberg
- & Dorthe Dahl-Jensen
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Article
| Open Access60 million years of glaciation in the Transantarctic Mountains
This study finds that glaciers have existed in the Transantarctic Mountains for the past 60 million years, and that warm-based mountain glaciers were present in Antarctica long before ice sheets came to dominate the continent.
- Iestyn D. Barr
- , Matteo Spagnolo
- & Matt D. Tomkins
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Article
| Open AccessBlack carbon and dust alter the response of mountain snow cover under climate change
Black carbon and dust deposition advanced the end of the snow season by 17 days on average over the last 40 years in the French Alps and the Pyrenees. The warming-induced snow cover decline was partly offset by decreases in black carbon deposition observed since the 1980s.
- Marion Réveillet
- , Marie Dumont
- & Paul Ginoux
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Article
| Open AccessSubglacial precipitates record Antarctic ice sheet response to late Pleistocene millennial climate cycles
Piccione et al find evidence for Antarctic ice sheet instability driven by millennial cycles in Southern Ocean temperature, providing clues for the mechanisms that link climate change and rapid Antarctic ice loss events.
- Gavin Piccione
- , Terrence Blackburn
- & Kathy Licht
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Article
| Open AccessIce mass loss sensitivity to the Antarctic ice sheet basal thermal state
This study uses ice sheet modeling experiments to show that thawing portions of the Antarctic ice sheet bed can increase century-scale mass loss, particularly in the Wilkes and Enderby Land regions of East Antarctica.
- Eliza J. Dawson
- , Dustin M. Schroeder
- & Hélène Seroussi
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Article
| Open AccessEnhanced Arctic sea ice melting controlled by larger heat discharge of mid-Holocene rivers
Based on marine multiproxy records, a new study outlines the role of larger heat discharge of the pan-Arctic Rivers in determining the pronounced sea ice retreat over the East Siberian Arctic Shelf in the mid-Holocene.
- Jiang Dong
- , Xuefa Shi
- & Gerrit Lohmann
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Article
| Open AccessWilkes subglacial basin ice sheet response to Southern Ocean warming during late Pleistocene interglacials
Crotti et al. reconstructed the dynamics of the Wilkes Subglacial Basin (Antarctica) during the past 350,000 years. Their study reveals that a portion of the East Antarctic ice sheet experienced an extensive retreat 330,000 years ago.
- Ilaria Crotti
- , Aurélien Quiquet
- & Massimo Frezzotti
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Article
| Open AccessTowards critical white ice conditions in lakes under global warming
Under continued global warming, lakes will increasingly be covered by white ice, in particular towards the end of the ice cover season when fatal winter drownings occur most often and light limits the growth and reproduction of primary producers.
- Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer
- , Ulrike Obertegger
- & Roman Zdorovennov
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Article
| Open AccessEndogenically sourced volatiles on Charon and other Kuiper belt objects
We show cryovolcanic eruptions released sufficient methane to source volatile products on Charon. Irradiated methane products are found on other Kuiper belt objects, so endogenically sourced volatiles could be important across the Kuiper belt.
- Stephanie M. Menten
- , Michael M. Sori
- & Ali M. Bramson
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Article
| Open AccessSunlight-driven nitrate loss records Antarctic surface mass balance
Snow accumulation rates in Antarctica can now be reconstructed from nitrate isotopes in snow and ice. This independent technique offers scientists a new tool for studying how Antarctic climate changed in the past and how it may change in the future.
- Pete D. Akers
- , Joël Savarino
- & Jason L. Roberts
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Article
| Open AccessSubsurface ocean warming preceded Heinrich Events
The mechanism driving past Laurentide Ice-Sheet instabilities remains elusive Here, the authors present a sediment record from the subpolar western North Atlantic and show that massive warming of the upper interior ocean was the likely trigger for repeated collapses of the Laurentide Ice-Sheet and iceberg discharge into the North Atlantic, known as Heinrich Events.
- Lars Max
- , Dirk Nürnberg
- & Stefan Mulitza
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Article
| Open AccessDecreasing surface albedo signifies a growing importance of clouds for Greenland Ice Sheet meltwater production
Here the authors use remote sensing observations and machine learning to show that clouds will become increasingly important for determining the Greenland Ice Sheet’s contribution to global sea levels due to decreasing albedo in the ablation zone.
- J. C. Ryan
- , L. C. Smith
- & J. T. M. Lenaerts
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Article
| Open AccessCentral tropical Pacific convection drives extreme high temperatures and surface melt on the Larsen C Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula
Landfalling atmospheric rivers on the Antarctic Peninsula, which lead to strong surface melting that can cause ice shelf collapse, have been linked to localized deep convection in the central tropical Pacific northeast of Fiji.
- Kyle R. Clem
- , Deniz Bozkurt
- & John Turner
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Article
| Open AccessHolocene melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet driven by tropical Pacific warming
Ice loss from the Amundsen Sea sector of West Antarctica is rapidly accelerating. Here, the authors reveal that this region also underwent thinning and retreat from 9 to 6 thousand years ago, due to atmospheric connections with a warming tropical Pacific.
- Adam D. Sproson
- , Yusuke Yokoyama
- & Rebecca L. Totten
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Article
| Open AccessPetermann ice shelf may not recover after a future breakup
New experiments suggest that the Petermann Ice Shelf in northwest Greenland is unlikely to recover once a breakup occurs in the future. If this is not unique to this ice shelf, continued ocean warming may lead to high discharge from polar ice sheets.
- Henning Åkesson
- , Mathieu Morlighem
- & Martin Jakobsson
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Article
| Open AccessNo general stability conditions for marine ice-sheet grounding lines in the presence of feedbacks
Using theoretical, numerical and data analyses, this study finds that there are no general stability conditions for marine ice sheets if feedbacks caused by interactions of ice sheets with atmosphere, ocean and lithosphere are taken into account.
- Olga V. Sergienko
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Article
| Open AccessHeavy footprints of upper-ocean eddies on weakened Arctic sea ice in marginal ice zones
Arctic sea ice extent continues to decline at an unprecedented rate that climate projection models commonly underestimate. In this study, authors reveal a positive feedback between ocean-ice heat fluxes, sea ice cover, and upper-ocean vortices that is missing in coarse-resolution climate models.
- Georgy E. Manucharyan
- & Andrew F. Thompson
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Article
| Open AccessDouble ridge formation over shallow water sills on Jupiter’s moon Europa
The formation of double ridges on Europa is poorly understood. Here the authors analyze airborne radar observations of an analog feature on the Greenland Ice Sheet to show that the refreezing of shallow water sills may produce such ridges.
- Riley Culberg
- , Dustin M. Schroeder
- & Gregor Steinbrügge
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Article
| Open AccessAntiphased dust deposition and productivity in the Antarctic Zone over 1.5 million years
A new high-resolution record for the Antarctic Zone shows persistent anti-phasing of high interglacial ocean productivity and high glacial dust deposition, suggesting a close inter-hemispheric coupling of cryosphere, ocean and atmosphere.
- Michael E. Weber
- , Ian Bailey
- & Xufeng Zheng
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Article
| Open AccessUnprecedented decline of Arctic sea ice outflow in 2018
Fram Strait is the major gateway connecting the Arctic Ocean and North Atlantic Ocean, where nearly 90% of the sea ice export from the Arctic Ocean takes place. Here, the authors show that in 2018, ice export showed an unprecedented decline since at least the 1990s, attributed to ongoing Arctic-wide ice thinning and regional-scale atmospheric anomalies.
- Hiroshi Sumata
- , Laura de Steur
- & Olga Pavlova
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Article
| Open AccessLarge interannual variability in supraglacial lakes around East Antarctica
Antarctic supraglacial lakes (SGLs) have been linked to ice-shelf collapse and the subsequent acceleration of inland ice flow, but observations of SGLs remain relatively scarce and their interannual variability is largely unknown. This new study shows that lake area and volume vary substantially from year-to-year around the East Antarctic Ice Sheet and between ice shelves.
- Jennifer F. Arthur
- , Chris R. Stokes
- & Vincent Verjans
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Article
| Open AccessExtremely wet summer events enhance permafrost thaw for multiple years in Siberian tundra
Thawing permafrost releases carbon that serves as a positive feedback on climate warming. Here the authors experimentally demonstrate that rainfall extremes in the Siberian tundra increase permafrost thaw for multiple years, especially if rainfall coincides with warm periods.
- Rúna Í. Magnússon
- , Alexandra Hamm
- & Monique M. P. D. Heijmans
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Article
| Open AccessIn-phase millennial-scale glacier changes in the tropics and North Atlantic regions during the Holocene
Glaciers showed a similar evolution in Greenland, Europe, the US and the tropical Andes during the Holocene. The authors propose the Atlantic Meridional Ocean Overturning Circulation as a key driver of this trend.
- V. Jomelli
- , D. Swingedouw
- & K. Keddadouche
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Article
| Open AccessAlpine permafrost could account for a quarter of thawed carbon based on Plio-Pleistocene paleoclimate analogue
The stability of permafrost carbon is poorly understood. Here the authors use Plio-Pleistocene clumped isotope reconstructions from the Tibetan Plateau and climate simulation to determine that ~85 petagrams of alpine carbon is vulnerable to thawing.
- Feng Cheng
- , Carmala Garzione
- & Aradhna Tripati
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Article
| Open AccessEnhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer
The Northern Hemisphere summer circulation in the midlatitudes has become more “meandering” over the past decades, but the cause of the change remains elusive. Here the authors reveal that the waiver trending pattern results from internal climate forcing associated with sea surface temperature low frequency variability over the tropical Eastern Pacific.
- Xiaoting Sun
- , Qinghua Ding
- & Yihui Ding
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Article
| Open AccessChange and variability in Antarctic coastal exposure, 1979–2020
A new metric measuring the exposure of the Antarctic coastline to full open-ocean conditions reveals strong regional and seasonal change and variability occurred over the past four decades due to the loss and/or gain of an offshore sea-ice buffer.
- P. A. Reid
- & R. A. Massom
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Article
| Open AccessSeasonal variability of ocean circulation near the Dotson Ice Shelf, Antarctica
The intrusion of relatively warm water is causing the recent rapid thinning of the Dotson ice shelf, West Antarctica. Here, the authors analyzed two-years of mooring data from the Dotson ice shelf front and found that seasonal variability of the ocean circulation and ocean surface stress are the main causes of variability in heat transport.
- H. W. Yang
- , T.-W. Kim
- & Y.-K. Cho
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Article
| Open AccessBlack carbon footprint of human presence in Antarctica
The snow surrounding research facilities and shore tourist-landing sites in Antarctica was found to be darker than elsewhere in the continent, which suggests that local emissions of black carbon are accelerating seasonal snowmelt in impacted regions.
- Raúl R. Cordero
- , Edgardo Sepúlveda
- & Gino Casassa
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Article
| Open AccessDelayed Antarctic sea-ice decline in high-resolution climate change simulations
Delayed Antarctic sea-ice decline is linked to Southern Ocean eddies - and their explicit treatment in models is crucial. New multi-resolution climate change projections give a possible reason for low confidence in IPCC’s current 21st-century Antarctic sea-ice projections.
- Thomas Rackow
- , Sergey Danilov
- & Thomas Jung
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Article
| Open AccessGlobally elevated chemical weathering rates beneath glaciers
Global glacial chemical denudation is one of the largest contributors to global elemental cycles and, amplified by climate warming, will significantly impact nutrient loads in downstream ecosystems.
- Xiangying Li
- , Ninglian Wang
- & Guoyu Li
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Article
| Open AccessNonlinear sensitivity of glacier mass balance to future climate change unveiled by deep learning
Deep learning unveils a nonlinear sensitivity of glacier mass changes to future climate warming, with important implications for water resources and sea-level rise coming from glaciers and particularly ice caps.
- Jordi Bolibar
- , Antoine Rabatel
- & Clovis Galiez
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Article
| Open AccessRecent upper Arctic Ocean warming expedited by summertime atmospheric processes
Low-frequency internal atmospheric variability accounts for about one quarter of observed Arctic Ocean warming over the past four decades and 60% of the accelerated warming from 2000 to 2018.
- Zhe Li
- , Qinghua Ding
- & Axel Schweiger
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Article
| Open AccessIce front retreat reconfigures meltwater-driven gyres modulating ocean heat delivery to an Antarctic ice shelf
Glacial melt can modify heat transport, and therefore ocean processes, associated with ice front retreat, as revealed by direct observations from the Pine Island Bay region of Antarctica.
- Seung-Tae Yoon
- , Won Sang Lee
- & Alexander T. Bradley
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Article
| Open AccessSea-ice retreat suggests re-organization of water mass transformation in the Nordic and Barents Seas
Water mass transformation in the Nordic and Barents Seas is important for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Here, the authors show increases in air-sea heat fluxes linked to sea ice retreat along the boundary currents of the Nordic and Barents Seas that could influence how the AMOC reacts to climate change.
- G. W. K. Moore
- , K. Våge
- & R. S. Pickart
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Article
| Open AccessSea-ice derived meltwater stratification slows the biological carbon pump: results from continuous observations
The North Atlantic biological pump has the most intense absorption of C globally, but how this will fare in light of climate changes (especially sea-ice melting) is poorly understood. Here the authors present a 24-month continuous time series of physical, chemical, and biological observations in the Fram Strait.
- Wilken-Jon von Appen
- , Anya M. Waite
- & Antje Boetius
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Article
| Open AccessUppermost crustal structure regulates the flow of the Greenland Ice Sheet
Anomalously slow seismic velocities in the upper Greenlandic crust reveal soft sedimentary substrates beneath major outlet glaciers. This, together with elevated geothermal heat flux observed at the onset of fast ice flow, has major implications for ice-sheet dynamics.
- G. A. Jones
- , A. M. G. Ferreira
- & A. Morelli
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Article
| Open AccessThawing Yedoma permafrost is a neglected nitrous oxide source
During permafrost thaw, nitrogen can be released as the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide, but the magnitude of this flux is unknown. Nitrous oxide emissions from ice-rich permafrost deposits are reported here, showing that emissions increase after thawing and stabilization and could represent an unappreciated positive climate feedback in the Arctic.
- M. E. Marushchak
- , J. Kerttula
- & C. Biasi
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Article
| Open AccessDecadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation
It may have taken only a decade to repeatedly destabilize the Antarctic Ice Sheet after the last Ice Age as shown by a new data-model study. The ice sheet lost ice for centuries each time before it abruptly re-stabilized again.
- Michael E. Weber
- , Nicholas R. Golledge
- & Zoë A. Thomas
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Article
| Open AccessSubglacial discharge controls seasonal variations in the thermal structure of a glacial lake in Patagonia
Thermal conditions and circulation near glacier fronts are important to understand the recent rapid retreat of calving glaciers. New observations from a glacial lake suggesting a feedback mechanism between atmospheric warming, glacier front melting and calving for freshwater-terminating glaciers.
- Shin Sugiyama
- , Masahiro Minowa
- & Marius Schaefer
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Article
| Open AccessIncreased variability in Greenland Ice Sheet runoff from satellite observations
Accurate assessments of ice-sheet runoff are essential for sea-level projections. A new method using satellite altimeter observations can provide near real-time surface mass balance measurements across an entire ice sheet and reveal runoff variability not captured by global climate models.
- Thomas Slater
- , Andrew Shepherd
- & Kate Briggs
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Article
| Open AccessIncreasing large wildfires over the western United States linked to diminishing sea ice in the Arctic
The western United States have seen an increase in wildfire activity in recent decades, the causes of which are not well understood. Here, the authors show that Arctic sea ice decline contributed to this increase through its influence on regional circulation which enhanced fire-favourable weather conditions.
- Yufei Zou
- , Philip J. Rasch
- & Rudong Zhang
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Article
| Open AccessAntarctic ozone hole modifies iodine geochemistry on the Antarctic Plateau
The Antarctic ozone hole has had far-reaching impacts, but effects on geochemical cycles in polar regions is still unknown. Iodine records from the interior of Antarctica provide evidence for human alteration of the natural geochemical cycle of this essential element.
- Andrea Spolaor
- , François Burgay
- & Alfonso Saiz-Lopez
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Article
| Open AccessPeering into lunar permanently shadowed regions with deep learning
Some regions on the Moon are permanently covered in shadow and are therefore extremely difficult to see into. We develop a deep learning driven algorithm which enhances images of these regions, allowing us to see inside them with high resolution for the first time.
- V. T. Bickel
- , B. Moseley
- & M. Shirley